Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 95.334327 108.387648 123.237327 141.522884 163.629514 189.746125 223.317825
2025-04-27 80.781179 98.479947 120.660203 151.092619 192.739438 249.280064 334.729063
2025-05-04 69.125606 87.925942 112.947870 149.779189 204.632410 286.969494 428.022881
2025-05-11 61.915876 81.421204 108.655289 151.125386 219.102915 330.684995 545.848476
2025-05-18 55.522607 74.902418 102.986906 148.843855 226.715468 364.669242 660.562519
2025-05-25 51.301083 70.839453 100.142236 150.107255 239.955526 411.775805 824.127161
2025-06-01 47.478427 66.855945 96.774781 149.735755 249.924360 455.413172 1004.975645
2025-06-08 43.911316 62.849958 92.814720 147.581358 255.877538 492.448701 1193.380397
2025-06-15 42.248119 61.630843 93.192299 153.126137 278.234187 574.178183 1579.495709
2025-06-22 38.769030 57.154492 87.575577 146.606900 273.738956 589.020494 1755.547118
2025-06-29 36.611555 54.662574 85.115078 145.792762 281.644948 639.461481 2123.230573
2025-07-06 34.730395 52.470828 82.948840 145.223770 289.983896 694.755091 2586.199503
2025-07-13 33.666354 51.736851 83.611776 151.195848 317.413451 827.492667 3738.599722
2025-07-20 33.159154 51.945060 86.091208 161.662972 360.450460 1045.668670 6212.840463
2025-07-27 31.319501 49.609111 83.437600 160.225330 370.593585 1150.941114 8309.500101
2025-08-03 29.979653 48.059823 82.142387 161.698839 389.860704 1311.869771 12204.374041
2025-08-10 28.371888 45.887427 79.375084 159.201780 396.302757 1421.701237 16561.059022
2025-08-17 27.278324 44.589941 78.255366 160.584384 415.971790 1620.947703 26183.638899
2025-08-24 26.117739 43.077259 76.537117 160.177794 429.666657 1805.661677 41117.110340
2025-08-31 24.888971 41.348619 74.204071 157.820525 435.859521 1955.136482 62608.645533
2025-09-07 24.429733 41.078705 74.970268 163.889555 476.135466 2404.600549 166239.346931
2025-09-14 22.997425 38.801028 71.149315 156.754652 462.119753 2418.261946 222028.718121
2025-09-21 22.128396 37.594070 69.610981 155.864305 473.809418 2676.623777 514245.631166